Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.503045e-05 0.000075 0.000086 0.000098 0.000111 0.000125 0.000142
2024-12-22 5.100307e-05 0.000064 0.000079 0.000097 0.000117 0.000139 0.000166
2024-12-29 4.133658e-05 0.000056 0.000074 0.000096 0.000122 0.000152 0.000188
2025-01-05 3.385040e-05 0.000050 0.000069 0.000094 0.000125 0.000162 0.000207
2025-01-12 2.742457e-05 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000126 0.000168 0.000222
2025-01-19 2.196981e-05 0.000037 0.000058 0.000087 0.000125 0.000172 0.000234
2025-01-26 1.806982e-05 0.000033 0.000054 0.000085 0.000126 0.000178 0.000247
2025-02-02 1.642447e-05 0.000032 0.000054 0.000087 0.000133 0.000192 0.000272
2025-02-09 1.422668e-05 0.000029 0.000052 0.000087 0.000137 0.000201 0.000289
2025-02-16 1.371331e-05 0.000030 0.000054 0.000093 0.000148 0.000220 0.000320
2025-02-23 1.202306e-05 0.000028 0.000053 0.000093 0.000151 0.000229 0.000338
2025-03-02 9.890401e-06 0.000025 0.000049 0.000090 0.000150 0.000232 0.000348
2025-03-09 8.230300e-06 0.000022 0.000047 0.000090 0.000154 0.000243 0.000371
2025-03-16 6.591318e-06 0.000020 0.000045 0.000088 0.000156 0.000252 0.000390
2025-03-23 5.278997e-06 0.000018 0.000042 0.000087 0.000158 0.000261 0.000410
2025-03-30 4.150248e-06 0.000016 0.000040 0.000086 0.000160 0.000268 0.000429
2025-04-06 3.109401e-06 0.000014 0.000037 0.000083 0.000159 0.000273 0.000443
2025-04-13 2.222520e-06 0.000011 0.000034 0.000079 0.000157 0.000274 0.000454
2025-04-20 1.629871e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000077 0.000157 0.000279 0.000468
2025-04-27 1.428343e-06 0.000010 0.000032 0.000079 0.000165 0.000296 0.000501
2025-05-04 1.121713e-06 0.000009 0.000031 0.000079 0.000168 0.000307 0.000524
2025-05-11 1.082237e-06 0.000009 0.000032 0.000084 0.000180 0.000330 0.000567
2025-05-18 8.515422e-07 0.000008 0.000031 0.000085 0.000184 0.000341 0.000591